It is widely considered that Connor Bedard is a franchise-altering player. Chicago was lucky to win the draft lottery and get the opportunity to select him. After posting 71 goals and 143 points in 57 games this past season, he is considered the consensus number-one pick.
While nobody is doubting his abilities as the number one pick in the draft, NHL scouts are starting to think people need to lower their expectations of Bedard.
In a recent article for The Athletic, Corey Pronman interviewed NHL scouts and executives to get a sense of what they think about top draft prospects and an NHL scout said some controversial things about Bedard.
This is a tad concerning because if we were to draw an expectation from this statement, we could expect Bedard to put up ~70 points in his rookie year, top 32 in scoring, and win the Calder. Obviously, the era has changed since then so an equivalency would be scoring at a point-per-game pace over 82 games, and winning the Calder.
McDavid scored 48 points in 45 games as a rookie, in a dead puck era where Patrick Kane lead league scoring with 106 points and only Kane, Jamie Benn, and Sidney Crosby, scored over an 87-point pace.
I think Bedard will be a blend between a Kane rookie year and a McDavid rookie year. He will likely have worse linemates than both had their rookie year so that needs to be accounted for with his projected linemates being Tyler Johnson and Andreas Athanasiou. We could reasonably expect Bedard to score 30-40 goals and 70+ points.
While he will likely not be on the level of Matthew Tkachuk (top 5-10 player) as a rookie, he will likely be on a higher level than that of Mark Scheifele who scored 42 goals and 68 points this past season. It will be hard to project Bedard's game for next year but we can expect a top-tier career from him when it is all said and done.
As seen on The Athletic NHL Draft confidential: What scouts and executives think of Bedard, Michkov and more
POLL | ||
JUIN 13 | 157 ANSWERS NHL Scout Claims Connor Bedard Is Overrated Will Connor Bedard score 40 plus goals as a rookie? | ||
Yes | 45 | 28.7 % |
No | 112 | 71.3 % |
LIST OF POLLS |
G | A | PTS | ||
Nino Niederreiter | 1 | - | 1 | |
Noel Acciari | - | - | - | |
Mason Appleton | - | - | - | |
Morgan Barron | - | - | - | |
Anthony Beauvillier | - | - | - | |
Michael Bunting | - | - | - | |
Kyle Connor | - | - | - | |
Sidney Crosby | - | - | - | |
Dylan DeMelo | - | - | - | |
Nikolaj Ehlers | - | - | - | |
Haydn Fleury | - | - | - | |
Matthew Grzelcyk | - | - | - | |
Connor Hellebuyck | - | - | - | |
Alex Iafallo | - | - | - | |
Tristan Jarry | - | - | - | |
Erik Karlsson | - | - | - | |
Rasmus Kupari | - | - | - | |
Kristopher Letang | - | - | - | |
Adam Lowry | - | - | - | |
Evgeni Malkin | - | - | - | |
Complete stats |
STANDINGS 2024-2025 | ||||||
TOP 10 | GP | W | L | OL | PTS | |
Jets | 19 | 16 | 3 | - | 32 | |
Wild | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 29 | |
Hurricanes | 19 | 14 | 5 | - | 28 | |
Devils | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 28 | |
Capitals | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 27 | |
Golden Knights | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | |
Maple Leafs | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | |
Rangers | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 25 | |
Panthers | 20 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 25 | |
Flames | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 25 | |
Conference | Cumulative |